Pokémon TCG booster pull rates

Understand observed rarity frequencies for a specific set, region and booster type.

Data status

Lunidex has not published a validated pack-by-pack sample. Published third-party results appear below; French-pack rates remain unavailable.

Published opening studies

The studies below use English-language booster packs. Each card identifies who published the report and, when disclosed, who counted the packs. The print region may be unreported; none are official Pokémon odds or estimates for French-language packs.

Have English or French pack-opening data? Send a public source or anonymized log with the set, pack language and region, booster type, dates, pack count, rarity counts and card variants. We review samples before adding them to Lunidex data.

Submit an opening sample

Temporal Forces

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 16.83% ± 0.79%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 6.67% ± 0.53%95% confidence interval
ACE SPEC Rare: 5.00% ± 0.46%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 7.72% ± 0.56%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.17% ± 0.23%95% confidence interval
Hyper Rare: 0.72% ± 0.18%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Paldean Fates

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 1,500 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 15.89% ± 1.69%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 6.61% ± 1.15%95% confidence interval
Shiny Rare: 25.44% ± 2.01%95% confidence interval
Shiny Ultra Rare: 7.72% ± 1.23%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 7.22% ± 1.20%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.72% ± 0.60%95% confidence interval
Hyper Rare: 1.61% ± 0.58%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Prismatic Evolutions

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 1,200 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Poké Ball Foil: 33.10% ± 2.60%95% confidence interval
Double Rare: 16.51% ± 2.05%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 7.46% ± 1.45%95% confidence interval
ACE SPEC Rare: 4.68% ± 1.17%95% confidence interval
Master Ball Foil: 4.92% ± 1.19%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration RareFor Special Illustration Rare, TCGplayer reports average cards per pack. Multi-hit packs mean this is not the probability of a pack containing at least one.: 2.22% ± 0.81%95% confidence interval
Hyper Rare: 0.56% ± 0.41%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Scarlet & Violet—151

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 1,500 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Foil Energy: 24.83% ± 2.00%95% confidence interval
Double Rare: 13.28% ± 1.57%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 6.44% ± 1.13%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 8.50% ± 1.29%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 3.11% ± 0.80%95% confidence interval
Hyper Rare: 1.94% ± 0.64%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Stellar Crown

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 16.90% ± 0.79%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 6.75% ± 0.53%95% confidence interval
ACE SPEC Rare: 4.94% ± 0.46%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 7.79% ± 0.57%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.11% ± 0.22%95% confidence interval
Hyper Rare: 0.73% ± 0.18%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Black Bolt + White Flare

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 350 packs per set

Reported frequency

Poké Ball Foil: 30.56% ± 3.36%95% confidence interval
Double Rare: 21.11% ± 2.98%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 5.83% ± 1.71%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 16.39% ± 2.70%95% confidence interval
Master Ball Foil: 5.14% ± 1.61%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.25% ± 0.81%95% confidence interval

TCGplayer pooled these sets assuming their pull rates were the same or nearly the same.

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Twilight Masquerade

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by PokéBeach · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: About 1 in 6 packs
Ultra Rare: About 1 in 15 packs
ACE SPEC Rare: About 1 in 20 packs
Illustration Rare: About 1 in 13 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 86 packs
Hyper Rare: About 1 in 146 packs

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Surging Sparks

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 16.94% ± 0.79%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 6.74% ± 0.53%95% confidence interval
ACE SPEC Rare: 5.03% ± 0.46%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 7.67% ± 0.56%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.15% ± 0.22%95% confidence interval
Hyper Rare: 0.53% ± 0.15%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Journey Together

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: About 1 in 5 packs
Illustration Rare: About 1 in 12 packs
Ultra Rare: About 1 in 15 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 86 packs
Hyper Rare: About 1 in 137 packs

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Destined Rivals

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: About 1 in 5 packs
Illustration Rare: About 1 in 12 packs
Ultra Rare: About 1 in 16 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 94 packs
Hyper Rare: About 1 in 149 packs

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Mega Evolution

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by PokéBeach · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 5,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: About 1 in 5 packs
Illustration Rare: About 1 in 9 packs
Ultra Rare: About 1 in 12 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 101 packs
Mega Hyper Rare: About 1 in 1,260 packs

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Phantasmal Flames

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by PokéBeach · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 5,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: About 1 in 5 packs
Illustration Rare: About 1 in 9 packs
Ultra Rare: About 1 in 12 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 80 packs
Mega Hyper Rare: About 1 in 1,260 packs

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Ascended Heroes

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by PokéBeach · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 2,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: About 1 in 5 packs
Illustration Rare: About 1 in 9 packs
Ultra Rare: About 1 in 21 packs
Mega Attack Rare: About 1 in 29 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 70 packs
Mega Hyper Rare: About 1 in 540 packs

God packs are excluded; these rates cover regular booster packs only.

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Perfect Order

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 3,500 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 20.97% ± 1.34%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 11.20% ± 1.03%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 8.54% ± 0.92%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.23% ± 0.36%95% confidence interval
Mega Hyper Rare: 0.06% ± 0.08%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Chaos Rising

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by TCGplayer · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 8,500 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 20.30% ± 0.85%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 8.29% ± 0.58%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 10.66% ± 0.65%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.21% ± 0.23%95% confidence interval
Mega Hyper Rare: 0.10% ± 0.07%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

Pitch Black

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by Obsidia TCG · data collected by not reported

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

More than 4,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Double Rare: 21.02% ± 1.21%95% confidence interval
Ultra Rare: 8.30% ± 0.82%95% confidence interval
Illustration Rare: 11.01% ± 0.93%95% confidence interval
Special Illustration Rare: 1.25% ± 0.33%95% confidence interval
Mega Hyper Rare: 0.09% ± 0.09%95% confidence interval

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

30th Celebration

Pack language: EnglishPrint market: not reported by source

Article by PokéBeach · data collected by TCGplayer

Product type: booster pack · Opening period not reported by source

3,000 packs in the study

Reported frequency

Illustration Rare: About 1 in 5 packs
Classic Collection: About 1 in 10 packs
Special Illustration Rare: About 1 in 21 packs
Futuristic Rare: About 1 in 120 packs

TCGplayer could not reliably determine the rates for the three RGB Mew cards from 3,000 English packs.

Read the source article

Source checked Sep 30, 2026

How a rate is calculated

For each rarity, divide the number of cards observed by the number of packs opened. The result is observed copies per pack, not the probability that a pack contains at least one card of that rarity.

What a sample must show

A usable sample names its source, set, region, booster type, opening dates, pack count, cards per pack and counts for every observed rarity. Rarity totals must match the recorded card variants.

How to read the result

Openings vary. A sample describes what was observed, not a guaranteed result for your next pack. Without pack-level hit records, aggregated card counts cannot establish the chance of at least one hit.